Performance & Backtests
validation · calibration · insights
Journal entries
1176
Avg confidence
68/100
Backtest runs
341
Backtest signals
126
Executed trades
0
Overall win rate

Run a backtest

Alpaca keys required (currently configured or degraded — server decides). Windows are capped at 2 years. Backtest reuses the exact live pipeline; MTF collapses to daily data in backtest mode (documented limitation).

Backtest runs

CreatedSymbolWindowStatusTradesWin rateAvg RActions
2026-07-06 03:09:16AAPL2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
failed
0
2026-07-06 03:09:02AAPL2024-01-02 → 2024-02-02
failed
0
2026-07-06 03:08:41AAPL2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
failed
0
2026-07-06 03:08:27AAPL2024-01-02 → 2024-02-02
failed
0
2026-07-06 03:08:10AAPL2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
failed
0
2026-07-06 03:07:57AAPL2024-01-02 → 2024-02-02
failed
0
2026-07-06 03:06:50AAPL2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
failed
0
2026-07-06 03:06:40AAPL2024-01-02 → 2024-02-02
failed
0
2026-07-06 03:06:08AAPL2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
failed
0
2026-07-06 03:04:46AAPL2024-01-02 → 2024-02-02
failed
0
2026-07-06 03:03:56AAPL2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
failed
0
2026-07-06 03:03:41AAPL2024-01-02 → 2024-02-02
failed
0
2026-07-06 03:03:14AAPL2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
failed
0
2026-07-06 03:02:59AAPL2024-01-02 → 2024-02-02
failed
0
2026-07-06 03:00:31AAPL2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
failed
0
2026-07-06 03:00:16AAPL2024-01-02 → 2024-02-02
failed
0
2026-07-06 02:59:34AAPL2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
failed
0
2026-07-06 02:59:21AAPL2024-01-02 → 2024-02-02
failed
0
2026-07-06 02:58:24AAPL2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
failed
0
2026-07-06 02:58:11AAPL2024-01-02 → 2024-02-02
failed
0
2026-07-06 02:56:44AAPL2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
failed
0
2026-07-06 02:56:22AAPL2024-01-02 → 2024-02-02
failed
0
2026-07-06 02:54:56AAPL2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
failed
0
2026-07-06 02:54:49AAPL2024-01-02 → 2024-02-02
failed
0
2026-07-06 02:38:07AAPL2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
failed
0
2026-07-06 02:37:58AAPL2024-01-02 → 2024-02-02
failed
0
2026-07-06 02:37:22AAPL2024-01-02 → 2024-02-02
failed
0
2026-07-06 02:34:53AAPL2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
failed
0
2026-07-06 02:34:40AAPL2024-01-02 → 2024-02-02
failed
0
2026-07-05 22:33:18AAPL2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
failed
0
2026-07-05 22:33:13AAPL2024-01-02 → 2024-02-02
failed
0
2026-07-05 22:32:47AAPL2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
failed
0
2026-07-05 22:26:35AAPL2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
failed
0
2026-07-05 22:26:26AAPL2024-01-02 → 2024-02-02
failed
0
2026-07-05 22:26:07AAPL2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
failed
0
2026-07-05 22:25:56AAPL2024-01-02 → 2024-02-02
failed
0
2026-07-05 22:25:26AAPL2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
failed
0
2026-07-05 22:25:20AAPL2024-01-02 → 2024-02-02
failed
0
2026-07-05 22:20:19AAPL2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
failed
0
2026-07-05 22:20:11AAPL2024-01-02 → 2024-02-02
failed
0
2026-07-05 22:19:24AAPL2024-01-02 → 2024-02-02
failed
0
2026-07-05 22:11:15AAPL2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
failed
0
2026-07-05 22:11:07AAPL2024-01-02 → 2024-02-02
failed
0
2026-07-05 22:10:30AAPL2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
failed
0
2026-07-05 22:10:17AAPL2024-01-02 → 2024-02-02
failed
0
2026-07-05 22:09:55AAPL2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
failed
0
2026-07-05 22:09:46AAPL2024-01-02 → 2024-02-02
failed
0
2026-07-05 22:07:47AAPL2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
failed
0
2026-07-05 22:06:43AAPL2024-01-02 → 2024-02-02
failed
0
2026-07-05 22:06:25AAPL2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
failed
0

Confidence calibration

60-69%
insufficient data
signals 3
trades 0
win —
avg R —
70-79%
insufficient data
signals 0
trades 0
win —
avg R —
80-89%
insufficient data
signals 0
trades 0
win —
avg R —
90-100%
insufficient data
signals 0
trades 0
win —
avg R —

Strategy comparison

SetupSignalsTradesWin rateAvg RAvg conf
no_trade126044.5

Coach insights

  • Not enough executed trades yet to derive strong insights.

Top symbols analysed

  • AAPL1281 analyses
  • NVDA13 analyses
  • TESTKS3 analyses
  • TSLA2 analyses
  • SPY1 analyses
  • MSFT1 analyses
  • DAL1 analyses

Most common no-trade reasons

  • Range-bound structure — breakouts often fail here×70
  • Market regime is sideways — reduce sizing / stand aside×70
  • Ticker is not in a clean trend×54
  • RSI ≤ 30 — extended, snapback risk×40
  • Reward/risk 2.00 is below the 1:2 minimum — downgraded to no_trade×38
  • RSI ≥ 70 — extended, mean-reversion risk×34
  • Kill switch is ON — trading globally disabled×31
  • Below-average volume (0.69× 20-day avg) — weak participation×9
  • Below-average volume (0.67× 20-day avg) — weak participation×9

Symbol intelligence

Enter a symbol to see recent analyses, average confidence, most common direction, and rejection reasons.

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